Latin America fund assets to exceed $3 trillion by 2020
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Mon, 05/07/2012 - 01:48
LATIN AMERICA FUND ASSETS TO EXCEED $3 TRILLION BY 2020, DRIVEN BY APPETITE FOR ASIA – US AND EUROPEAN ASSET MANAGERS BENEFIT MOST
While still smaller than other global regions in terms of aggregate assets - around US$1.4 trillion in mutual fund assets and about $710 billion in pension assets - fast growth in Latin America as a region is capturing the imagination of investors, distributors and asset managers alike, with tactical and strategic opportunities prompting resource allocations and investments.
According to a new 110-page Strategic Insight research study on the region, ‘State of the Asset Management Industry – Latin America’, “depending on the global market environment the region’s mutual fund industry could reach between $2.8 trillion and $3.6 trillion in assets by the 2020, while its pension fund assets could approach $3 trillion –a total of over $6 trillion,” stated Daniel Enskat, Head of Global Consulting for Strategic Insight and author of the book.
Rick Scott cost FL jobs in House Bill 959 - Ignores Cuba's transition to open economy and free trade
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Mon, 04/30/2012 - 17:05The Florida governor just cost the state a huge number of jobs in construction, transportation and practically every other export related industry in the state.
After the already highly unpopular Rick Scott gets done posing for the signing of House Bill 959 and all his speeches at the Freedom Tower, a symbolic setting for the Cuban exiles, Democrats should thank him again for this latest mistake.
Everyone knows its a bad political season but that's no excuse for bad economic decisions.
It's clear that within a year or so, the 311-point reform package just passed in Cuba will create an economic power just 90 miles south of Florida that will test the limits of growth for Florida businesses and organizations that can help in the reconstruction.
For a more eloquent story on this check out the recent CNBC Special that aired in March of 2012.
"CUBA: FORBIDDEN FORTUNE
90 Miles off the coast of Key West, Florida is a hidden treasure, one that if opened could generate millions in revenue for US based businesses. That treasure is of course Cuba, a tiny island under the crush of economic sanctions but also on the edge of major transformation."
Heck, just the cement business alone would be a huge bonanza. Why let other suppliers get that business when in Florida, there are 7 cement plants, over 100 aggregate plants, over 300 concrete plants? And with the numerous support industries such as trucking companies, railroad's etc this translates into billions in payrolls for the state.
Influential business interests, including the Florida Chamber of Commerce and the governments of Florida's top two trading partners, Brazil and Canada, have warned the law would discourage investment from foreign firms. This is also an attempt to create foreign policy at the state level, something being discussed in the Supreme Court's review of the Arizona immigration issue.
The regulation amounts to a license for a witch hunt for anyone possibly doing business with Cuba. The conspiracy hunters need not look too far. It's very clear which companies would be affected by the legislation - Florida's already weak construction sector. And then consider every other business involved in regional trade and tourism, airlines, hotels, port facilities, and the list keeps growing.
One small bill. One very big mistake.
That's my take on it.
Argentina's Lack of Capital is an Illusion
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Thu, 04/19/2012 - 20:21
The conventional wisdom is that Argentina is starved for capital. Really? Is it true?
When you look at Argentina’s balance of payments, low foreign currency reserves and need to import more oil, it’s easy to agree on a need for capital, but don’t judge too quickly.
What would happen if Argentina thought about using the buyout techniques that hedge funds have used for years to create huge returns for the nation’s treasury? The answer is clear. The situation in Argentina would immediately reverse itself, money would start flowing in to the country.
As a financial buyer, Argentina could acquire the YPF shares that it expropriated this week from Repsol at fair value and under its own terms.
It could very easily pay fair value to acquire the controlling YPF or any other shares it needs with no money down.
Here’s a dream deal financing structure idea....Read more on Forbes.com
http://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2012/04/19/argentina-shouldnt-steal...
With Europe Broken Again, Sarkozy And Lagarde Are Back To Begging
Submitted by admin on Mon, 04/16/2012 - 17:01Now you see it.. and now you don't. The one truth about hat tricks is that they are delusions. Here's a great article that highlights this.
With Europe Broken Again, Sarkozy And Lagarde Are Back To Begging -
What a difference a month makes. About 4 weeks ago the European crisis was "over" — French President Sarkozy exclaimed that: “Today, the problem is solved!” Christine Lagarde, former French finance minister, and current IMF head following the framing of DSK, added that “Economic spring is in the air!”... Fast forward to today when following the inevitable end of the transitory favorable effects of the LTRO (remember: flow not stock, a/k/a the shark can not stop moving forward), the collapse of the Spanish stock market, the now daily halting of Italian financial stocks, the inevitable announcement that shorting of financials in Europe is again forbidden, and finally the record spike in Spanish CDS, Europe is broken all over again. Which brings us again the Sarkozy and Lagarde. The Frenchman who is about to lose the presidential race to socialist competitor Hollande (an event which will have major ramifications for Europe as UBS' George Magnus patiently explained two months ago), no longer sees anything as solved, and instead is openly begging for the ECB to inject more, more, more money into the system to pretend that "problems are solved" for a few more months. Incidentally, so is Lagarde, for whom in an odd change of seasons, economic spring is about to be followed by a depressionary winter. The problem is both will end up empty handed, as the well may just have run dry. From the FT: In effect ripping up a deal to shelve public differences over the ECB reached in November at the height of the eurozone crisis with Ms Merkel and Mario Monti, the Italian prime minister, Mr Sarkozy said the matter of ECB support for growth was “a question we cannot avoid” He said: “If the central bank does not support growth, there will not be enough growth . . . I know the difficulties that surround this subject but we have the duty to reflect on it because it is a major problem for the future of Europe.” Mr Sarkozy said: “Europe must purge its debts, it has no choice. But between deflation and growth, it has no more choice. If Europe chooses deflation it will die. We, the French, will open the debate on the role of the central bank in the support of growth.” In other news, remember that so very "friendly" relationship between Merkel and Sarkozy? Kiss that goodbye. And while Germany may or may not have had enough of bailing out everyone (between the ECB funding all peripheral banks, and TARGET2 funding all peripheral current account deficits), the IMF just can't get enough. Unfortunately, unlike the ECB, it does not have its own printer. Enter panhandling. Literally: Holding up her Louis Vuitton handbag, the new managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) turned to her fellow power brokers in one session and said: “I am here, with my little bag, to collect a bit of money.” The joke broke the ice and the room rippled with laughter. But, beneath the disarming charm, Lagarde was deadly serious. For months now, the IMF has been trying to coerce its 187 members into committing as much as $600bn (£378bn) more to the fund to build what she described at the Brookings Institute in Washington last week as a “global firewall” to defeat once and for all the European sovereign debt crisis. The problem, as is glaringly obvious, is that the IMF's piggybank really is the US. And no US, no "big bazooka", no "giant firewall" Ever since “the Greek problem” flared up again in July last year, the talk from Brussels to London to Beijing has been about “big bazookas” and “giant firewalls” – a vast bail-out fund available to rescue any struggling nation from bankruptcy. ... It has been a baptism of fire for Lagarde, France’s former finance minister who was appointed after the disgraced Dominique Strauss-Kahn stepped down in the wake of rape allegations. Just nine months into the job, she has the unenviable task of trying to build a co-ordinated global strategy on the shifting tectonic plates of domestic politics. At the IMF’s key spring meetings in Washington this week, she faces her first real test. If Lagarde can strike a big deal on resources, she will be garlanded with praise. If she can’t, the jury will remain out. Either way, the pressure is now on. Sorry, but with a US debt ceiling fiasco due in 4 months just ahead of a critical presidential election, the fire is about to be turned up a notch. Or ten... and be sulfur based. Because the math no longer works... And it never did. Tellingly, all the US Treasury could muster in response to the eurozone agreement was the weak recognition that it “reinforces a trajectory of positive efforts to strengthen confidence in the euro area”. UK sources said that, privately, the US was bitterly disappointed, and adamant that no further US taxpayer money would be put at risk of more euro bail-outs. Normally, US opposition would be enough to kill any plan to increase resources. But Lagarde has other ideas. She hopes to corral the rest of the major non-eurozone players – the UK, Canada, Japan, Australia, China and India – into a joint agreement. But she has already begun managing down expectations. Having previously indicated that she wanted as much as $600bn more, she said at Brookings: “The needs now may not be quite as large as we had estimated earlier this year.” UK sources said she would be lucky to secure $400bn. Of that, the eurozone members have committed to contributing €150bn – on top of their own bazooka – leaving just $250bn to be gathered from other members. Even at $400bn, the extra resources would be a retreat from earlier ambitions. Lagarde wanted to increase the IMF’s available resources from the current $400bn to $1 trillion, while global policymakers had hoped for a total bazooka of €2 trillion to allay concerns about Europe. The IMF and the eurozone’s combined funds will fall well short of that. Forget bazooka: IMF will be lucky to get a peashooter. In the meantime, Spain will not wait: As markets have lost faith in Spain, questions have resurfaced about whether the eurozone firewall is big enough. According to CEPS, “even if the [firewall] only had to cover half of the financial needs of Spain and Italy”, it would need another €400bn. Finally: Even securing €250bn from non-eurozone members excluding the US could prove difficult. So now that Europe is broken all over again, and with elections, riots, strikes, tumbling markets, hundreds of sovereign bond auctions, and no promise of free liquidity from anyone despite daily rumor otherwise... what happens next?
Interesting Blog and Financial Commentary Sites
Submitted by admin on Tue, 04/10/2012 - 17:46- Abnormal Returns
- Aleph Blog
- Bespoke Investment Group
- Brad deLong
- ClientInsights.ca – Dan Richards
- Covenant Group, The
- DealBook – NYTimes
- Floyd Norris – NYTimes
- GuruFocus
- IndexUniverse.com
- Investment Postcards
- Jeff Matthews
- Long or Short Capital
- Market Movers – Portfolio.com
- MarketBeat – WSJ.com
- Nouriel Roubini
- Seeking Alpha
- The Big Picture
- The Wealthy Boomer
- U.S. Global Investors
- Wordpress Themes
- Zero Hedge
Investing in Latin America: When, where and how
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Tue, 07/19/2011 - 16:14
"Here's a great resource from the folks at PricewaterhouseCoopers." @latincapitalist
Hispanic Population in U.S.Grew by 43% in Ten Years
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Tue, 04/05/2011 - 19:01
Per the census office:
More than half of the growth in the total U.S. population between 2000 and 2010 was because of the increase in the Hispanic population. Between 2000 and 2010, the Hispanic population grew by 43 percent, rising from 35.3 million in 2000 to 50.5 million in 2010. The rise in the Hispanic population accounted for more than half of the 27.3 million increase in the total U.S. population. By 2010, Hispanics comprised 16 percent of the total U.S. population of 308.7 million.
Venezuela's Oil Leak
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Tue, 03/01/2011 - 04:10
Do you think Venezuela will default by 2012?
EVER since Greece plunged into a sovereign-debt crisis in 2009, investors have focused on which European country might be next. According to Capital Economics, a research firm in London, however, the next trouble spot could be Venezuela.
Peru signs two Free Trade Agreements in two days
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Tue, 11/16/2010 - 16:59The real success of G-20 is that it highlights the importance of emerging market countries in the new economic order. On 15 November, Peru signed a free trade agreement (FTA) with South Korea; on 14 November, it also concluded FTA negotiations with Japan. What does this mean?
Global Currency War Looms
Submitted by Latin Capitalist on Wed, 09/29/2010 - 05:37Last night Brazil’s Finance Minister warned of a global “currency war”. Interventions by governments like Japan and Brazil can only do so much. Calling your country's currency the most over-valued one does a lot more to keep inflows down. Are trade sanctions the next step? Not for Brazil. It needs all the open markets it can find to sell to and huge foreign direct investment to build it's energy sector.

